Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1.709991 1.973511 2.258622 2.589322 2.961618 3.367044 3.841205
2024-10-13 1.295965 1.657606 2.083929 2.620402 3.273978 4.040675 5.004139
2024-10-20 0.984309 1.382248 1.888871 2.573638 3.466386 4.581256 6.067847
2024-10-27 0.800137 1.220977 1.794224 2.618300 3.756088 5.252837 7.347955
2024-11-03 0.661378 1.089123 1.708591 2.649404 4.015370 5.894903 8.637127
2024-11-10 0.548359 0.970016 1.616459 2.648881 4.217454 6.463937 9.863353
2024-11-17 0.451105 0.855059 1.508987 2.604024 4.339394 6.917845 10.951220
2024-11-24 0.372209 0.754272 1.405838 2.546852 4.427653 7.318642 11.980213
2024-12-01 0.320639 0.690983 1.353283 2.560768 4.622072 7.886688 13.292157
2024-12-08 0.273082 0.625620 1.286276 2.538950 4.750785 8.355261 14.475335
2024-12-15 0.244985 0.592814 1.272248 2.605616 5.029931 9.079019 16.103374
2024-12-22 0.214230 0.548428 1.229468 2.613248 5.204112 9.638377 17.495923
2024-12-29 0.198331 0.534710 1.247163 2.740899 5.612014 10.633742 19.700637
2025-01-05 0.179845 0.511731 1.243245 2.826956 5.953163 11.541947 21.824007
2025-01-12 0.154513 0.467000 1.186884 2.801310 6.081879 12.086888 23.359971
2025-01-19 0.138996 0.443484 1.173055 2.860760 6.378131 12.949893 25.503516
2025-01-26 0.124072 0.418149 1.151086 2.899625 6.635783 13.757762 27.595017
2025-02-02 0.108934 0.388611 1.114496 2.901467 6.817257 14.433682 29.484594
2025-02-09 0.093349 0.353798 1.059292 2.853972 6.890738 14.907090 31.025683
2025-02-16 0.079416 0.320245 1.001489 2.792507 6.927216 15.308379 32.450947
2025-02-23 0.070585 0.300784 0.977310 2.807814 7.130017 16.047524 34.556249
2025-03-02 0.061460 0.277728 0.939398 2.784266 7.243344 16.612402 36.352774
2025-03-09 0.056668 0.268826 0.939715 2.856571 7.578008 17.644800 39.112244